Home Business Tip of the Week

   

How to Tell an Opportunity from a Scam

Famous journalist H.L. Mencken once quipped, ¨No one ever went broke underestimating the intelligence of the American public.¨

Most folks marketing to home business owners -- or wannabe home business owners -- seem to have taken that observation firmly to heart.

Either they are idiots, or they believe we are idiots.

Claims that can´t withstand the slightest sceptical scrutiny are marketed in the expectation that out there somewhere, perhaps very nearly everywhere, are somewhat dimwitted prospects willing to fork over real American money in return for a clearly bogus dream.

Just hand over your credit card, you are told, and with little effort and with even less intelligence, thousands of dollars will magicly begin flowing into your bank account while frolic in the Hawaiian surf.

Having become a confirmed sceptic during my prior careers as a newspaper reporter and a litigation attorney, I´m disinclined to mail in those checks.

At the same time, lots of people -- including me -- are making a nice living working at home, without the hassles and overhead of the standard corporate job.

Being an optimist, I´ve also learned that if you don´t enter the race, you have no chance of winning the prize.

How do you tell the real opportunities from the scams? How do you know when to send in the money, and when not to?

Here are some keys to separating the wheat from the chaff.

First, make sure you understand at a very basic and fundamental level what fraud specialists refer to as a Ponzi or pyramid scheme. Many of the more dubious schemes circulating on the net are just simple variations on the basic Ponzi scam.

The Ponzi scheme takes its name from swindler Carlo ¨Charles¨ Ponzi, who cheated thousands of ordinary folks out of millions of dollars back when a million dollars was still real money.

A largely unschooled Italian immigrant in Boston, Ponzi had failed in a series of legitimate jobs.

He began promoting a scheme, however, to make real money by buying and selling international mail coupons.

At one level, it seemed like there was something to the scheme. For a variety of technical reasons involving currency exchange rates, postal coupons could be bought for pennies in various European companies and redeemed for dollars worth of postage stamps in the United States.

Claiming that he would make money by buying low overseas and selling high in the US, Ponzi collected money from various small investors in the Boston area. He promised them 40% returns in just 90 days.

With this initial money in hand, he did three things:

1) He continued to market his scheme aggressively, seeking and acquiring more and more investors.

2) He adopted a conspicously lavish lifestyle, attributing his wealth to the very success of his scheme.

3) He paid off the initial investors, as promised, on time.

As early investors got paid off, they enthusiastically marketed Ponzi´s brainchild for him. They sold friends, relatives and even charitable organizations on the wisdom of placing hard-earned life savings with Ponzi. Many of the early investors re-invested their initial profits, and more.

Ponzi continued to live large and to pay off investors as they came due. He even used some of his cash to acquire substantial legitimate businesses, adding further credibility to his efforts.

Eventually, however, the scheme became so prominent that troubling questions began to be asked. First, while there was a price difference in postal orders in different parts of the world, the total number of postal coupon issues worldwide was quite small, and not nearly big enough to absorb all the money Ponzi was raking in. Second, there seemed to be no evidence that Ponzi had ever actually bought or sold any of those transfers that did exist.

At this time, people began demanding their money back -- only to find out it wasn´t there.

All along, Ponzi had just been using the money handed over by the new investors to pay off the old. What was left over, he spent.

The scheme worked only so long as the number of new investors handing in cash exceeded the number of old investors who needed paying off. Put differently, the pyramid needed to keep growing larger and larger to support itself. When it finally failed, those who trusted Ponzi lost millions.

The classic Ponzi scheme is illegal today, as it was then. Many thinly disguised versions still circulate, however, and all have the common trait that the scheme can work only so long as new investors or members outweigh the old investors or members.

If growth slows or stops, the business collapses because, as with Ponzi, there´s no real business there.

Which brings us to the second test: just as a duck looks, quacks and flies like a duck, a real business looks, quacks and flies like a real business.

And real businesses take real work, and deliver real value to their customers. If it takes no effort and delivers nothing of real value to the customers, how can it be a real business?

Key point: If you are offered a payout that is not for the sale of real, valuable goods, but is directly for bringing new distributors into the scheme, be very, very careful.

Key point 2: If the new distributor is required to buy products of little real value to enter the scheme (for example, generic information products that could just as easily be downloaded for free), treat the payment on this purchase as a payment for recruiting a new member, and not as payment for real goods.

So here´s the act upon advice when you are considering a home business opportunity.

Test the business against the characteristics of a Ponzi scheme. If it smells like a Ponzi scheme, keep your money in your pocket.

Secondly, look to see what the real business proposition is. If you can´t see where real value is delivered to fully-informed customers, odds are that those you want to sell to won´t see the value either. Once again, use this as a cue to keep your money in your pocket.

Finally, if it passes the first two tests, do your due diligence. Check their references (disregarding, by the way, the testimonials on their own websites, since those are so easily manufactured). Go to Google newsgroups and see if there is any buzz on the company (disregarding, again, anyone touting the company who appears to be in a position to make money if you buy through them). Check the Better Business Bureau and your State Attorney General´s office to see if there are complaints against them.

Only once you feel secure that it´s a real business with a decent track record should you invest any money that you would mind losing.

Additional Links Related To This Topic:

The US Security and Exchange Commission´s Overview of Pyramid Schemes:
http://www.sec.gov/answers/pyramid.htm

US Federal Trade Comission Guidance on Multilevel Marketing Plans:
http://www.ftc.gov/bcp/conline/pubs/invest/mlm.htm

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Copyright Hard Knocks MBA, Inc. 2003